Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 225.012728 253.204324 284.408076 321.657284 365.107471 414.423528 474.964607
2025-02-16 179.090465 215.378244 259.022720 315.964943 389.156477 481.262860 607.861965
2025-02-23 153.498306 192.443170 241.819191 310.085072 403.742392 530.345728 719.086868
2025-03-02 139.986561 181.670188 236.906877 317.159260 433.718068 601.705804 871.618300
2025-03-09 127.297504 169.884627 228.391360 316.967442 451.966081 657.599916 1010.675122
2025-03-16 115.346081 157.527060 217.239719 310.834398 459.491188 697.126222 1130.048530
2025-03-23 107.279473 149.703701 211.478579 311.560005 476.984162 754.262417 1290.356546
2025-03-30 98.723103 140.266680 202.209201 305.419994 481.969580 790.415431 1419.254559
2025-04-06 92.489214 133.704811 196.581625 304.261739 494.806815 841.825204 1588.722675
2025-04-13 84.376017 123.575825 184.421363 290.824560 484.092501 847.670264 1664.649184
2025-04-20 82.147596 122.444497 186.476506 301.698576 518.675448 945.819044 1966.477688
2025-04-27 80.496906 122.058693 189.636821 314.734022 558.995715 1062.644938 2345.786112
2025-05-04 76.406442 117.494288 185.577970 314.612055 574.347183 1131.478336 2632.418044
2025-05-11 71.485531 111.216545 178.099022 307.388721 574.448988 1167.075803 2843.692442
2025-05-18 67.317263 105.911803 171.877407 301.868090 577.259693 1209.293766 3087.865521
2025-05-25 65.366608 104.263141 171.999861 308.694557 607.603857 1323.506514 3591.578314
2025-06-01 62.576376 100.947723 168.812281 308.510700 622.248363 1401.553085 4011.884590
2025-06-08 59.244725 96.457791 163.111908 302.578119 622.805998 1442.938985 4323.977230
2025-06-15 57.031127 93.831760 160.705573 303.280053 639.142521 1530.681259 4845.532121
2025-06-22 54.167474 89.852284 155.435679 297.340102 638.496985 1570.511340 5200.557913
2025-06-29 52.080243 87.179936 152.506890 296.219485 649.765430 1647.891415 5751.146368
2025-07-06 48.788146 82.095299 144.535869 283.216534 628.963044 1624.005633 5847.849092
2025-07-13 48.294496 82.231555 146.910094 293.739496 671.249218 1807.554538 7013.434268